1 Descriptive Section

1.1 Indicator category

[1] “Fish”

1.2 Indicator name

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Includes variable(s): FALL-age_maturity, FALL-fecundity, FALL-k, FALL-l_inf, FALL-length_maturity, FALL-max_obs_length, FALL-offspring_size, FALL-PC1, FALL-PC2, FALL-PC3, FALL-trophic_level, SPRING-age_maturity, SPRING-fecundity, SPRING-k, SPRING-l_inf, SPRING-length_maturity, SPRING-max_obs_length, SPRING-offspring_size, SPRING-PC1, SPRING-PC2, SPRING-PC3, SPRING-trophic_level

1.3 Indicator brief description

These data represent estimates of trait distributions for key functional traits amongst finfish species at each EPU on the Northeast Continental Shelf.

1.4 Indicator visualization

SOE_Submission_results.docx I’m happy to share the code used to produce these figures from the data linked above.

2 SMART Attribute Section

2.1 Indicator documentation

2.1.1 Are indicators available for others to use (data downloadable)?

Yes

2.1.1.2 How often are they updated? Are future updates likely?

[need sequential look at datasets for update frequency. Future requires judgement]

2.1.1.3 Who is the contact?

Bart DiFiore ()

2.1.2 Gather indicator statistics

2.1.2.1 Units

Indicator

Units

FALL-age_maturity

years

FALL-fecundity

number of offspring per mature female

FALL-k

1/years

FALL-l_inf

cm

FALL-length_maturity

cm

FALL-max_obs_length

cm

FALL-offspring_size

mm

FALL-PC1

unitless

FALL-PC2

unitless

FALL-PC3

unitless

FALL-trophic_level

unitless

SPRING-age_maturity

years

SPRING-fecundity

number of offspring per mature female

SPRING-k

1/years

SPRING-l_inf

cm

SPRING-length_maturity

cm

SPRING-max_obs_length

cm

SPRING-offspring_size

mm

SPRING-PC1

unitless

SPRING-PC2

unitless

SPRING-PC3

unitless

SPRING-trophic_level

unitless

2.1.2.2 Length of time series, start and end date, periodicity

General overview: 1963-2023, Spring (January-June) & Fall (July-December)

Indicator specifics:

Indicator

EPU

StartYear

EndYear

NumYears

MissingYears

FALL-age_maturity

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-age_maturity

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-age_maturity

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-age_maturity

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-age_maturity

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-fecundity

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-fecundity

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-fecundity

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-fecundity

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-fecundity

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-k

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-k

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-k

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-k

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-k

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-l_inf

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-l_inf

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-l_inf

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-l_inf

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-l_inf

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-length_maturity

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-length_maturity

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-length_maturity

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-length_maturity

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-length_maturity

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-max_obs_length

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-max_obs_length

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-max_obs_length

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-max_obs_length

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-max_obs_length

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-offspring_size

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-offspring_size

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-offspring_size

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-offspring_size

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-offspring_size

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC1

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC1

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC1

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-PC1

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC1

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC2

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC2

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC2

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-PC2

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC2

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC3

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC3

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC3

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-PC3

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-PC3

SS

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-trophic_level

GB

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-trophic_level

GOM

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-trophic_level

MAB

1963

2024

60

2

FALL-trophic_level

NEshelf

1963

2024

61

1

FALL-trophic_level

SS

1963

2024

61

1

SPRING-age_maturity

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-age_maturity

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-age_maturity

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-age_maturity

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-age_maturity

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-fecundity

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-fecundity

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-fecundity

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-fecundity

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-fecundity

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-k

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-k

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-k

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-k

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-k

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-l_inf

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-l_inf

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-l_inf

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-l_inf

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-l_inf

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-length_maturity

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-length_maturity

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-length_maturity

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-length_maturity

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-length_maturity

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-max_obs_length

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-max_obs_length

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-max_obs_length

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-max_obs_length

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-max_obs_length

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-offspring_size

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-offspring_size

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-offspring_size

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-offspring_size

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-offspring_size

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC1

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC1

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC1

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC1

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-PC1

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC2

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC2

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC2

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC2

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-PC2

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC3

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC3

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC3

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-PC3

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-PC3

SS

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-trophic_level

GB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-trophic_level

GOM

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-trophic_level

MAB

1968

2024

56

1

SPRING-trophic_level

NEshelf

1968

2024

57

0

SPRING-trophic_level

SS

1968

2024

56

1

2.1.2.3 Spatial location, scale and extent

General overview: By EPU and full shelf

Indicator specifics:

Indicator

EPU

FALL-age_maturity

GB

FALL-age_maturity

GOM

FALL-age_maturity

MAB

FALL-age_maturity

NEshelf

FALL-age_maturity

SS

FALL-fecundity

GB

FALL-fecundity

GOM

FALL-fecundity

MAB

FALL-fecundity

NEshelf

FALL-fecundity

SS

FALL-k

GB

FALL-k

GOM

FALL-k

MAB

FALL-k

NEshelf

FALL-k

SS

FALL-l_inf

GB

FALL-l_inf

GOM

FALL-l_inf

MAB

FALL-l_inf

NEshelf

FALL-l_inf

SS

FALL-length_maturity

GB

FALL-length_maturity

GOM

FALL-length_maturity

MAB

FALL-length_maturity

NEshelf

FALL-length_maturity

SS

FALL-max_obs_length

GB

FALL-max_obs_length

GOM

FALL-max_obs_length

MAB

FALL-max_obs_length

NEshelf

FALL-max_obs_length

SS

FALL-offspring_size

GB

FALL-offspring_size

GOM

FALL-offspring_size

MAB

FALL-offspring_size

NEshelf

FALL-offspring_size

SS

FALL-PC1

GB

FALL-PC1

GOM

FALL-PC1

MAB

FALL-PC1

NEshelf

FALL-PC1

SS

FALL-PC2

GB

FALL-PC2

GOM

FALL-PC2

MAB

FALL-PC2

NEshelf

FALL-PC2

SS

FALL-PC3

GB

FALL-PC3

GOM

FALL-PC3

MAB

FALL-PC3

NEshelf

FALL-PC3

SS

FALL-trophic_level

GB

FALL-trophic_level

GOM

FALL-trophic_level

MAB

FALL-trophic_level

NEshelf

FALL-trophic_level

SS

SPRING-age_maturity

GB

SPRING-age_maturity

GOM

SPRING-age_maturity

MAB

SPRING-age_maturity

NEshelf

SPRING-age_maturity

SS

SPRING-fecundity

GB

SPRING-fecundity

GOM

SPRING-fecundity

MAB

SPRING-fecundity

NEshelf

SPRING-fecundity

SS

SPRING-k

GB

SPRING-k

GOM

SPRING-k

MAB

SPRING-k

NEshelf

SPRING-k

SS

SPRING-l_inf

GB

SPRING-l_inf

GOM

SPRING-l_inf

MAB

SPRING-l_inf

NEshelf

SPRING-l_inf

SS

SPRING-length_maturity

GB

SPRING-length_maturity

GOM

SPRING-length_maturity

MAB

SPRING-length_maturity

NEshelf

SPRING-length_maturity

SS

SPRING-max_obs_length

GB

SPRING-max_obs_length

GOM

SPRING-max_obs_length

MAB

SPRING-max_obs_length

NEshelf

SPRING-max_obs_length

SS

SPRING-offspring_size

GB

SPRING-offspring_size

GOM

SPRING-offspring_size

MAB

SPRING-offspring_size

NEshelf

SPRING-offspring_size

SS

SPRING-PC1

GB

SPRING-PC1

GOM

SPRING-PC1

MAB

SPRING-PC1

NEshelf

SPRING-PC1

SS

SPRING-PC2

GB

SPRING-PC2

GOM

SPRING-PC2

MAB

SPRING-PC2

NEshelf

SPRING-PC2

SS

SPRING-PC3

GB

SPRING-PC3

GOM

SPRING-PC3

MAB

SPRING-PC3

NEshelf

SPRING-PC3

SS

SPRING-trophic_level

GB

SPRING-trophic_level

GOM

SPRING-trophic_level

MAB

SPRING-trophic_level

NEshelf

SPRING-trophic_level

SS

2.1.2.4 Management scale: all species, FMP level, species level, can it be aggregated or separated to different scales?

[Classify by hand, note gridded data if available could be applied to different species ranges]

2.1.2.5 Uncertainty metrics

Uncertainty is captured in these variables:

character(0)

2.1.3 Are methods clearly documented to obtain source data and calculate indicators?

Yes

2.1.3.1 Can the indicator be calculated from current documentation?

Here, we present indices for 8 functional traits and three aggregate trait ordinations. To better understand the long-term linear change in these indicators, we fit linear mixed effects models. Specifically, at the EPU scale we estimated the linear change in the response (e.g. PCA1, PCA2, or PCA3) with time in each season in each EPU . We include year as a random intercept effect to account for systematic annual variation across EPU’s. For visualization purposes we include the long-term linear trend if the 95% confidence intervals on the slope estimate do not include zero. Principal Component Analysis of traits Many traits represent similar variation in the community. For instance, maximum observed body size and asymptotic body size (from the VB growth equation) both represent similar trait indices. To further reduce the dimensionality across traits, we conducted a principal component analysis (PCA) of the trait database. The first principal component (PCA1) explained 61.5% of the variation, while the second component (PCA2) explained 19.6% of the variation. Traits such as VB growth parameter k, length at maturity, age at maturity, maximum observed length, and VB growth parameter linf all loaded strongly on PCA1. Following, McKeon et al. (2024) we consider this PCA axis as an indicator for finfish “Pace of Life”, with higher values on this axis representing faster growth and small maximum body size. Similarly, we consider the second axis as an indicator of “Fecundity”, with higher values on the axis reflecting lower reproductive investment (smaller offspring, higher fecundity). Estimating trait distributions To generate a functional trait index, we then combined our trait database with observations of the finfish community using a community weighted mean (CWM) approach (e.g. Lavorel et al. (2008), Frainer et al. (2017)). Specifically, we follow Lavorel et al. (2008), and estimate the CWM for each trait j as \[CWM_j = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^nb_it_{ij}}{\sum_{i=1}^nb_i}\] where \(b_i\) is the biomass (kg) of species \(i\), \(t_{ij}\) is the value of trait \(j\) for species \(i\), and \(n\) is the total number of species captured. The units of \(CWM_j\) depend on the trait value. For instance, the units of the CWM length at maturity are cm. The community weighted mean can be estimated at different spatial or temporal scales. Here we estimate the CWM for each trait at the scale of the NE Shelf, where bi is the biomass (kg) of species i captured across all tows in a year and season, or similarly at the EPU scale, where bi is the biomass (kg) of species i captured across each EPU in each year and season. All other data preparation and processing is standard to the trawl survey data prep, including species-specific vessel corrections, etc.

2.1.3.2 Is code publicly available? up to date?

GitHub code repository linked

2.1.3.3 Have methods changed over time?

No

2.1.4 Are indicator underlying source data linked or easy to find?

Source data are publicly available.

2.1.4.1 Where are source data stored?

Currently, the version of the NEFSC Trawl Survey used to generate the community weighted mean trait values is from https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/data-requests/tree/main/EwE-menhaden-AndreBuchheister. However, any version of the trawl survey data that has corrected estimates of biomass by species at the tow scale could be used to update/recreate the index. The trait values for each species can be found at https://github.com/bartdifiore/Fish-Functional-Traits/blob/main/Data/Derived/trait_database.csv and the PCA ordinations of these traits can be found at https://github.com/bartdifiore/Fish-Functional-Traits/blob/main/Data/Derived/pca_variables.csv. I have included in this submission the derived CWM trait database that can be directly used to create all figures etc. Development of the Trait Database To develop the trait database we utilized two primary sources: Beukhof et al. (2019) and James T. Thorson et al. (2023) FishLife database. Both data sources are based on FishBase (Froese and Pauly 2019), however provide different levels of detail. Specifically, we queried the Beukhof et al. (2019) database for finfish species encountered in the NE Shelf trawl survey. We utilized values from Beukhof et al. (2019) that were species-specific (e.g. not estimated based on averages of traits across other species of the same genus, family, class, order). For remaining species encountered on the NE Shelf, we queried the FishLife database. The FishLife database used a modeling approach to impute trait values for all fish species in FishBase based on taxonomic relatedness. Thus, if a trait for a particular species was unknown, the model generated a prediction for that trait based on taxonomic relatedness via a structural equation model.

2.1.4.2 How/by whom are source data updated? Are future updates likely?

Bart DiFiore

[likelihood of source data updates requires judgement, enter by hand]

2.1.4.3 How often are they updated?

[Update by hand, look for source, may require judgement]

2.2 Indicator analysis/testing or history of use

2.2.1 What decision or advice processes are the indicators currently used in?

Functional traits, such as length at maturity, asymptotic body size, or fecundity, offer a means to synthesize change across complex, diverse communities while avoiding the pitfalls of examining change in any given species. In general, ecological theory predicts that if many species play similar roles in an ecosystem, known as high functional redundancy, then the loss of any one species will be compensated by the prevalence of functionally similar species, allowing for greater stability and resilience at the ecosystem level. Therefore, monitoring changes in functional trait distributions can provide a means of assessing ecosystem-scale resilience. Here, we compiled eight key functional traits and three aggregate trait ordinations for ~388 finfish species encountered in the NEFSC trawl survey. We then estimated the prevalence of each trait for each season, year, and EPU, using a community-weighed mean approach. Finally, we used regression-based approaches to explore long-term temporal shifts in functional trait distributions.

2.2.2 What implications of the indicators are currently listed?

In general, there appears to be equivocal evidence for functional redundancy in traits at both the scale of the NE Shelf and within particular EPU’s. For instance, for trait ordination axes related to the pace of life and fecundity, there was stability in trait distributions for species captured during the fall survey. However, in the spring survey there was evidence for long-term shifts towards slower life history strategies (larger body size, lower fecundity, fewer offspring). At the EPU scale, there was little evidence for long-term linear trends in trait distributions in the Gulf of Maine and Scotian Shelf finfish communities, suggesting a high level of functional redundancy and stability in the face of dramatic shifts in oceanographic conditions (e.g. increasing temperatures) and other anthropogenic impacts. Conversely, there was evidence for long term change in trait distributions in the mid-Atlantic Bight and Georges Bank. For instance, the fall finfish community on George’s Bank and the spring finfish community in the mid-Atlantic Bight are both showing long-term shifts towards slower life history strategies with lower fecundity. These changes suggest that more research across the finfish community in these regions is needed to understand the ecological and economic ramifications of such change.

2.2.3 Do target, limit, or threshold values already exist for the indicator?

No

2.2.4 Have the indicators been tested to ensure they respond proportionally to a change in the underlying process?

No

2.2.5 Are the indicators sensitive to a small change in the process, or what is the threshold of change that is detectable?

Unknown

2.2.6 Is there a time lag between the process change and the indicator change? How long?

Unknown

3 SMART rating

Category

Indicator

Element

Attribute

Rating

ElementRating

OverallRating

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Described

1

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Units

1

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Spatial

1

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Uncertainty

0

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Methods

1

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Specific

Code

1

0.8333333

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

Available

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

Online

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

Contact

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

SourceDat

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

SourceAvail

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Measurable

SourceContact

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Achievable

Tested

0

0.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Achievable

Sensitivity

0

0.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Achievable

TimeLag

0

0.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Relevant

Advice

1

0.6666667

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Relevant

Implications

1

0.6666667

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Relevant

TargThresh

0

0.6666667

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Timebound

Frequency

1

1.0000000

0.7

Fish

NE Shelf Functional Trait Indicators

Timebound

Updated

1

1.0000000

0.7

3.1 Comments

[Fill below by hand once above data complete]

3.1.2 What additional work would be needed for the Council to use the indicator?

3.1.3 What issues are caused if there is a gap or delay in data underlying the indicator