1 Descriptive Section

1.1 Indicator category

[1] “Habitat-Physical”

1.2 Indicator name

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Includes variable(s): bottom temp anomaly in situ, reference bt in situ (1981-2010), reference sst in situ (1981-2010), sst anomaly in situ

1.3 Indicator brief description

The data presented here are time series of regional average bottom temperature anomalies from ship-based measurements made on the Northeast Continental Shelf.

1.4 Indicator visualization

No response

2 SMART Attribute Section

2.1 Indicator documentation

2.1.1 Are indicators available for others to use (data downloadable)?

Yes

2.1.1.2 How often are they updated? Are future updates likely?

[need sequential look at datasets for update frequency. Future requires judgement]

2.1.1.3 Who is the contact?

2.1.2 Gather indicator statistics

2.1.2.1 Units

Indicator

Units

bottom temp anomaly in situ

degreesC

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

degreesC

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

degreesC

sst anomaly in situ

degreesC

2.1.2.2 Length of time series, start and end date, periodicity

General overview: Annual

Indicator specifics:

Indicator

EPU

StartYear

EndYear

NumYears

MissingYears

bottom temp anomaly in situ

GB

1977

2023

46

1

bottom temp anomaly in situ

GOM

1977

2023

43

4

bottom temp anomaly in situ

MAB

1977

2023

43

4

bottom temp anomaly in situ

SS

1977

2023

41

6

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

GB

1977

2023

46

1

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

GOM

1977

2023

43

4

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

MAB

1977

2023

43

4

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

SS

1977

2023

41

6

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

GB

1977

2023

46

1

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

GOM

1977

2023

43

4

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

MAB

1977

2023

43

4

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

SS

1977

2023

43

4

sst anomaly in situ

GB

1977

2023

46

1

sst anomaly in situ

GOM

1977

2023

43

4

sst anomaly in situ

MAB

1977

2023

43

4

sst anomaly in situ

SS

1977

2023

43

4

2.1.2.3 Spatial location, scale and extent

General overview: by EPU

Indicator specifics:

Indicator

EPU

bottom temp anomaly in situ

GB

bottom temp anomaly in situ

GOM

bottom temp anomaly in situ

MAB

bottom temp anomaly in situ

SS

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

GB

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

GOM

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

MAB

reference bt in situ (1981-2010)

SS

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

GB

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

GOM

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

MAB

reference sst in situ (1981-2010)

SS

sst anomaly in situ

GB

sst anomaly in situ

GOM

sst anomaly in situ

MAB

sst anomaly in situ

SS

2.1.2.4 Management scale: all species, FMP level, species level, can it be aggregated or separated to different scales?

[Classify by hand, note gridded data if available could be applied to different species ranges]

2.1.2.5 Uncertainty metrics

Uncertainty is captured in these variables:

character(0)

2.1.3 Are methods clearly documented to obtain source data and calculate indicators?

Yes

2.1.3.1 Can the indicator be calculated from current documentation?

While all processed hydrographic data are archived in an Oracle database (OCDBS), we work from Matlab-formatted files stored locally.

Ocean temperature on the Northeast U.S. Shelf varies significantly on seasonal timescales. Any attempt to resolve year-to-year changes requires that this seasonal variability be quantified and removed to avoid bias. This process is complicated by the fact that NEFSC hydrographic surveys conform to a random stratified sampling design meaning that stations are not repeated at fixed locations year after year so that temperature variability cannot be assessed at fixed station locations. Instead, we consider the variation of the average bottom temperature within four Ecological Production Units (EPUs): Mid-Atlantic Bight, Georges Bank, Gulf of Maine and Scotian Shelf. Within each EPU, ocean temperature observations are extracted from the collection of measurements made within 10 m of the bottom on each survey and an area-weighted average temperature is calculated. The result of this calculation is a time series of regional average near-bottom temperature having a temporal resolution that matches the survey frequency in the database. Anomalies are subsequently calculated relative to a reference annual cycle, estimated using a multiple linear regression model to fit an annual harmonic (365-day period) to historical regional average temperatures from 1977-present. The curve fitting technique to formulate the reference annual cycle follows the methodologies outlined by Mountain (1991). The resulting anomaly time series represents the difference between the time series of regional mean temperatures and corresponding reference temperatures predicted by a reference annual cycle for the same time of year. Finally, a reference annual average temperature (calculated as the average across the reference annual cycle) is also provided and can be added back into the anomaly time series to convert temperature anomalies to ocean bottom temperature.

2.1.3.2 Is code publicly available? up to date?

No

2.1.3.3 Have methods changed over time?

No

2.1.4 Are indicator underlying source data linked or easy to find?

Source data are publicly available at ftp://ftp.nefsc.noaa.gov/pub/hydro/matlab_files/yearly and in the World Ocean Database housed at http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/SELECT/dbsearch/dbsearch.html under institute code number 258.

2.1.4.1 Where are source data stored?

The bottom temperature index incorporates near-bottom temperature measurements collected on Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC) surveys between 1977-present. Early measurements were made using surface bucket samples, mechanical bathythermographs and expendable bathythermograph probes, but by 1991 the CTD – an acronym for conductivity temperature and depth – became standard equipment on all NEFSC surveys. Near-bottom refers to the deepest observation at each station that falls within 10 m of the reported water depth. Observations encompass the entire continental shelf area extending from Cape Hatteras, NC to Nova Scotia, Canada, inclusive of the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank. Source data are publicly available at https://comet.nefsc.noaa.gov/erddap/tabledap/ocdbs_v_erddap1.html

2.1.4.2 How/by whom are source data updated? Are future updates likely?

Kimberly Bastille,

[likelihood of source data updates requires judgement, enter by hand]

2.1.4.3 How often are they updated?

[Update by hand, look for source, may require judgement]

2.2 Indicator analysis/testing or history of use

2.2.1 What decision or advice processes are the indicators currently used in?

The bottom temperature index incorporates near-bottom temperature measurements collected on Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC) surveys between 1977-present. Early measurements were made using surface bucket samples, mechanical bathythermographs and expendable bathythermograph probes, but by 1991 the CTD – an acronym for conductivity temperature and depth – became standard equipment on all NEFSC surveys. Near-bottom refers to the deepest observation at each station that falls within 10 m of the reported water depth. Observations encompass the entire continental shelf area extending from Cape Hatteras, NC to Nova Scotia, Canada, inclusive of the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank.

2.2.2 What implications of the indicators are currently listed?

No response

2.2.3 Do target, limit, or threshold values already exist for the indicator?

No

2.2.4 Have the indicators been tested to ensure they respond proportionally to a change in the underlying process?

No

2.2.5 Are the indicators sensitive to a small change in the process, or what is the threshold of change that is detectable?

Unknown

2.2.6 Is there a time lag between the process change and the indicator change? How long?

Unknown

3 SMART rating

Category

Indicator

Element

Attribute

Rating

ElementRating

OverallRating

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Described

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Units

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Spatial

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Uncertainty

0.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Methods

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Specific

Code

0.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

Available

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

Online

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

Contact

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

SourceDat

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

SourceAvail

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Measurable

SourceContact

1.0

1.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Achievable

Tested

0.0

0.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Achievable

Sensitivity

0.0

0.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Achievable

TimeLag

0.0

0.0000000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Relevant

Advice

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Relevant

Implications

1.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Relevant

TargThresh

0.0

0.6666667

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Timebound

Frequency

1.0

0.7500000

0.6166667

Habitat-Physical

Bottom Temperature - in situ

Timebound

Updated

0.5

0.7500000

0.6166667

3.1 Comments

[Fill below by hand once above data complete]

3.1.2 What additional work would be needed for the Council to use the indicator?

3.1.3 What issues are caused if there is a gap or delay in data underlying the indicator